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CRE Broadly Gains in August Commercial real estate prices saw broad-based growth in August, led by retail and industrial sectors, per GlobeSt. The RCA CPPI All-Property Index climbed 2.4% annually, its fastest rate since late 2022, and 0.9% month-over-month, translating to an 11.1% annualized increase.

The national office vacancy rate dipped slightly to 18.7% in August, though trophy assets remain the main draw in an otherwise uneven market. Hybrid is the new normal: Two-thirds of U.S. firms offer flexible attendance, leaving physical office use stuck in the 50–55% range. While NYC has seen its strongest leasing demand in five years, most markets remain sluggish, with top-tier buildings carrying the load. Rents & vacancy: Office rents averaged $32.63/SF in August, down 0.4% from last year, while vacancy eased to 18.7%. Seattle, Austin, and San Francisco remain oversupplied with vacancies above 25%, but Manhattan stands apart with just 13.6% vacancy and rents near $68/SF. Sales activity: Sales hit nearly $33B YTD, averaging $190/SF—well below 2019’s highs. Manhattan led with nearly $5B in deals, trailed by the Bay Area and D.C. A standout transaction came in Dallas, where Cousins Properties paid $218M for The Link at Uptown, reflecting strong demand for top-tier assets.

The Fed finally made its move, and while the 25 bps cut won’t change the game overnight, CRE sees it as a welcome shift. What happened: The Fed reduced its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00–4.25%, ending a streak of five straight pauses. More importantly for markets, the Fed’s updated "dot plot" projects two more cuts this year, with a longer-term target of 3.1% by the end of 2027—down from a 3.4% projection in June. Zoom in: The median forecast from Fed officials places the year-end fed funds rate at 3.6%, with projections ranging from 2.9% to 4.4%. Following the announcement, prediction market Kalshi saw the odds of three total cuts this year jump to 67%, up from 48% the day before.